CRA poll has Tories up by 7 points

This is bad news for the NB Liberals.

I wouldn’t trust a Bristol poll as far as I could throw it, but CRA’s stuff is usually bang on.

Remember 2003.

Anyway, the CRA poll shows that almost 6 out of 10 New Brunswickers are satisfied with the Lord government.

With every poll that goes by, I am more and more convinced that New Brunswickers just want their government to be seen and not heard. To not do anything substantitive and certainly don’t rock the boat.

I said facetiously in an earlier blog that the Tories actually like out-migration because the the ones that leave tend to be the disgruntled ones. There might just be some truth to that.

People must truly live in the moment. If any rational person looked at the trends both economic and social – they would undoubtedly throw out the government every four years.

We are dead last in Canada for health measurements
We are second last in Canada in education measurements
We have had 14 straight years of net out-migration
Our overall population is in decline for the first time since the Great Depression
Over 70% of the cities, towns and villages in New Brunswick are losing population
Our bedrock industries are in decline
We are facing the largest workforce challenge in the province’s history
We have never been more dependent on Equalization and Federal transfers
An Industry Canada study in the late 1990s concluded that not only did the Atl. Provinces have the worst standard of living in Canada but among all 60 U.S. states and Canadian provinces.

And 6 out of 10 of us are ‘satisfied’.

I may know a thing or two about economic development but it would seem I know jack when it comes to politics.

But it’s fun to watch, anyway.

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0 Responses to CRA poll has Tories up by 7 points

  1. Anonymous says:

    I suspect you don’t actually mean ‘fun’ to watch. Since I have similar aims as you, I certainly don’t find it ‘fun’.

    However, look at it realistically point by point.

    1. The world lives now by corporate rule, most people expect little from their government, and are happen when ‘no news is bad news’.

    2. New Brunswick in particular lives by a one family corporate rule-what’s good for Irving is good for the province. Don’t underestimate the power of propaganda.

    3. Out migration has been the trend for generations. The numbers may change, but the ‘perception’ of out migration has always been there. The largest previous net migration was in 1998, that’s liberal territory, so what else is new.

    4. It’s not a matter of polls, its a matter of opposition. Personally, I think theres a reason an uncharismatic Irving family friend heads the opposition. ‘Being satisfied’ is often a psychological safety valve for ‘if I wasn’t satisfied I’d be looking for an alternative and since there is none there I’d either be pissed off all the time, spend all my time blogging, have to get active politically when I’m barely making ends meet, so, yeah, I guess I’m satisfied’

    4. Increasing federal transfers is a very justifiable way of an aging population to expect at least some compensation for educating and raising their kids to work and pay taxes elsewhere. There is a reason court cases usually end up with monetary rewards.

    5. Can anybody even remotely imagine an industry sector set up that could affect the massive numbers leaving?

    6. If you are one of the people retired or making a decent living, then ‘being satisfied’ simply means ‘no new taxes’.

    None of those are unreasonable to expect, and that’s assuming that the poll is accurate. Keep in mind that in a quasi-democracy there is a strong impetus toward being satisfied with government. They supposedly are ‘your government’ which means when they aren’t, the burden falls back on an individual to do something about it. Of course that’s rubbish, it isn’t ‘your government’ anymore than it is mine, just take a look at the issues being discussed. There are huge issues out there, but because they are Irving interests, no party will even talk about them. People say there is ‘no one issue’ and that’s true, but there are dozens of smaller ones that WOULD be talked about constantly, if Irvings weren’t running the province.