Category Archives: Uncategorized

New Brunswick’s missing 35 to 44 year olds: A lesson in demographics

There is a view that youth out-migration is something that can be fixed – like you would fix an old car.  The reality is much more nuanced.  The following chart shows the New Brunswick population by age cohort relative to the … Continue reading

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New Brunswick’s $250,000 problem

New Brunswick has 59% fewer people who earn $200,000 per year and 63% fewer people who earn $250,00 per year compared to Canada as a whole. To put that into some kind of context, you would have to look far and … Continue reading

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Energy and mining export values down, gypsum, aquaculture and peanut butter up

A quick look at the international export data for the first four months of 2016 reveals that the value of energy-related exports is down significantly this year so far. The total value of refined petroleum exports, gas exports (mostly LNG) … Continue reading

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Learning from Leicester City

I think there are lessons to be drawn from the Leicester City Foxes who recently won the 2015-16 English Premier League. The Foxes were 5,000 to 1 to win on the season’s opening day. I can’t help but take a little jab at … Continue reading

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Brasileiros em New Brunswick: Will a wave of Brazilians help rebalance our demographics?

A YouTube channel that describes itself as “dedicated to Brazilians wish to one day live in Canada” recently featured an hour and 12 minute conversation with Sergio and Kaísa who recently moved to Moncton where Sergio is taking a course at … Continue reading

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Growth in the provincial workforce and GDP by Premier

Between 1987 and 1997, the years when Frank McKenna was Premier the provincial workforce expanded by 32,000 people and total employment increased by 29,800.  Real GDP grew by 11.3%. Between 1999 and 2006, when Bernard Lord was Premier, the workforce … Continue reading

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Are women or men more at risk from the coming automated economy?

After a Davos conversation there have been a number of stories recently about which gender is most ask risk from the coming automated economy – driverless cars, robots, etc.  It’s an interesting conversation.  I took at look at the occupational … Continue reading

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Redux: Does labour follow capital or vice versa?

Should New Brunswick focus more on trying to attract jobs or on growing the population?An interesting new study out of Indiana has important implications for economic development in New Brunswick. The researchers looked at whether or not job growth (efforts … Continue reading

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Manitoba and immigration: An interesting case study

The Manitoba example is an interesting one for us to consider as we think more deeply about immigration and the labour market.  Even though Manitoba has no oil and gas industry and only a fairly small mining sector (less that … Continue reading

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The size of NB’s workforce is smaller now than back in 2008. Only province to shrink.

New Brunswick saw an uptick in job creation in the last few months on 2015 and an overall real GDP growth rate (the final number is not in) of likely something above one percent.  That may not seem like much … Continue reading

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