It’s fun to watch the Population Secretariat report on the quarterly population numbers and talk about getting closer to that goal of a 6,000 person increase by the end of this year. According to the CBC report, they are close – 5,400 people.
“That puts us just under 400 people left to go to achieve that goal of 6,000 by the end of 2009, so certainly [it’s] very positive news,” said Brendan Langille, spokesman for the province’s Population Growth Secretariat.
We have the worst growth rate in the country and the spokesperson calls it “very positive news”.
The other wild card that should force Mr. Langille to be a little careful is the “residual deviation” from the population estimates. Check here for the recent adjustments. Essentially the quarterly estimates are just that and have to be revised every few years. The annual numbers have been revised downward every year since 1991.
The average downward adjustment per year since 1991 has been -905. Assuming the same residual deviation continues, the province’s actual population growth since the Libs took power would be more like 2,700 persons and not 5,400.
The point is that the province needs to be creating good paying jobs. If it does that, the people will follow the jobs. I’m not saying that there is no need to ‘work on population growth’ but without the jobs why does it matter?