Someone told me today that he hears the provincial Liberals are thinking about calling an election this year. The idea is to get a new mandate out front of a few potentially difficult years and provincial budgets. It’s an interesting thought given that recessions tend to be hard on politicians but snap elections in New Brunswick tend to be harder. Think Camille Theriault in 1999 and Bernard Lord in 2006. Both had internal polls showing them with a strong lead going into the election and both came out losers.
It will be interesting to watch. The Liberals have not shown much appetite for pain in their first couple years in office. For example, I thought health care spending was out of control with the Lord government and its growth rate has only increased under the Libs. Cutting – even moderating the growth of – government spending is not something we have seen in New Brunswick since the mid 1990s.