Fredericton the next CMA?

I read an article in the DG where the head of the Fredericton Chamber says:

One aspect is the approval of Fredericton as a census metropolitan area and I know that various organizations in the city, including the chamber and Team Fredericton, are working towards getting that status because that status is more or less an entry point to site selection for larger organizations.

Someone should tell the guy that you don’t work towards the status of being a CMA. You need to have at least 50,000 in the urban core area of the city and 100,000 in the Census Agglomeration area and then you are automatically a CMA. It’s not like other recognitions that you apply for.

From Statistics Canada:
A CA will be promoted to a CMA if it has a total population of at least 100,000, of which 50,000 or more live in the urban core.

At the current rate of population growth, Fredericton is set to become a CMA by 2021.

Now, it is true that the threshold used to be 100,000 in the urban core so it is possible that Fredericton officials are lobbying Statistics Canada to lower the 50,000/100,000 threshold. If anyone has any info on that send it along.

It would be good to have Freddy Beach join the ranks of CMAs in New Brunswick.

This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

0 Responses to Fredericton the next CMA?

  1. Vincerolly says:

    “The guy” is keenly aware that CMA status is not a recognition to which one applies. What he’s referring to “working towards” is incorporating Oromocto into the Fredericton CMA agglomeration area, which requires annexation. The 50K urban core already exists. It’s this total agglomerated area that’s in question. In fact it is necessary to work with StatsCan on the matter largely because this does not necessarily occupy highest priority for their depleted ranks to facilitate and deadlines do apply. StatsCan has demonstrated little enthusiasm for lowering the threshold.

  2. David Campbell says:

    Thanks for the insight. Bringing in Oromocto probably makes sense these days. I am still not sure that you can can ‘convince’ Statistics Canada of anything. Don’t they have rules dictating how CAs and CMAs are formulated? I once had a long chat with the top economist at Statistics Canada and he laid it out for me (I forget the particulars). I hope you weren’t offended by the term “The guy” – I had closed the article and didn’t remember if he was the Chairman or CEO or some other title. And just to reiterate – he is bang on. Being a CMA does elevate the community to another level. Beyond the site selection thing he mentioned, CMAs have data reported on them annually and even monthly that CAs only get during the Census. It is far more powerful to tell a potential business investor that you have 2008 statistics (or estimates) than to rely on 2006 Census data that may have been 2005 data.

    Let’s cross our fingers for Freddy Beach.

  3. Vincerolly says:

    Again, it’s not a matter of “convincing” StatsCan of anything; rather ensuring that the application is incorporated into the StatsCan workplan. And it is absolutely necessary to forward an application since StatsCan simply assumes the historical status quo unless the [regional] municipality steps forward for StatsCan to make the change.

    Yes, there are rules, but they are not necessarily in force simply because circumstances change.

  4. David Campbell says:

    Thanks. I did not know you could petition Statistics Canada to expand your CA area. That is interesting.