Random stat

Everyone likes a random statistic or two.

Here’s one.

New Brunswick has now had 16 straight years of net out-migration (more moving out than in).

Before that, the longest stretch of net out-migration was the nine year period between 1962-1971 (Statistics Canada data only starts in 1962).

However, for anyone who longs for the golden days of the 1960s, during that nine year stretch, almost 43,000 people moved out of New Brunswick than moved in.

That compares to to a total net out-migration of 18,000 from 1991 to 2006.

The best growth period (as measured by the province’s attraction of people – net in-migration)?

1971-1976.

Over 18,000 net in-migration during that six year period.

I wonder what was going on?

Richard Hatfield’s first term and a half in office! Wow.

Of course, old Tricky Dick’s luck didn’t last long.

Seven of his next 10 years in office were net out-migration years.

During his term in office, 1970-1987 he actually eeked out a positive in-migration of +1,304.

McKenna saw a net out-migration of -7,800 (1987-1997).

Bernard Lord takes the cake with a net out-migration of -13,191 (1999-2006)*.

*overlap years were counted for both Premiers in that given year.

Now the Free Marketers will hail Bernard Lord’s efforts because people finally gave up and moved to Alberta. The mobility of labour is sacrosanct.

The Interventionists will decry the lack of economic development which forced such a large out-migration.

The Hatfieldists (are there any left?) will pine for the good old days.

The Robichaudists will plug their ears and say nah nah nah I can’t hear you (or better yet turn down their hearing aids) when we say that at least 42,000 more people moved out of New Brunswick during his term in office than moved in (the data starts in 1962).

Now of course this is just one statistic taken out of the broader context. But it is interesting.

It’s tiny sorry about that.

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0 Responses to Random stat

  1. NB taxpayer says:

    1971-1976? Francois Perroux’s theory of growth poles?

    Say it isn’t so, David. lol

  2. Danny D'Amours says:

    Nice analysis.

    I’m not sure how much I trust them but Statistics Canada’s Labour force survey seems to indicate a healthy population growth over the last year. The sample from which they are drawing is fairly limited but it is still an encouraging sign.

    There is a lot of time to make up for…

  3. Anonymous says:

    Could it be that the fact that people tended to have larger families in the 60’s had something to do with these stats? Also great opportunities for manufacturing jobs in Ontario at the time.