Ask a stupid question…..

I read all the blah blah blah around the longest time coming Cabinet shuffle in the history of New Brunswick. I notice Kelly Lamrock is getting quite handy with the superlatives.

But I digress.

I was blown away to see that he was dropping veterans Elvy Robichaud, Peter Mesheau and Margaret-Ann Blaney who “asked to be relieved of their cabinet duties”. Now despite my constant poking and probing of both Blaney (you remember “I am encouraged by these numbers” Blaney) and Mesheau, I can’t for the life of me figure out why three of the top Cabinet ministers would quit mid stream a year and change before a potentially challenging run for a third term.

If you have any insight, please dish. And don’t give me that ‘more time with my family’ shtick. I want to know why.

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0 Responses to Ask a stupid question…..

  1. scott says:

    Mesheau out? Robichaud out?

    I am gazing at their numbers right now over at the Office of the Chief Electoral Officer’s website and both seem to have won large percentages of the vote despite the car insurance fiasco in 2003.

    Tracadie-Sheila
    Elvy(PC)-4,583
    Weldon(Lib)-2,894

    Tantramar
    Pete(PC)-2,922
    Sue(Lib)-1,569

    To be honest, that is like Harper shaking the cabinet up and demoting Maxime Bernier and say John Baird — ridings that go “tory blue” due to the ability of the candidate and not the strength of party organization on the ground.

    I am not convinced this is a good thing?

    The one thing that is certain is that these two ridings are now in play.

    Lord’s first order of business, a year away from a general election, should have been to get his government re-elected into a majority. His second order of business should have been to get re-elected. His third order of business should have been to get re-elected in his Moncton East riding.

    Passing on these three senior members will not make these three tasks easy IMHO.

  2. Anonymous says:

    Look at previous elections though. Tantramar was liberal in 95. Although the last two elections saw conservative wins, both those leads have decreased from past elections by a substantial margin.

    Clearly its a question of timing, Lord is hoping ‘new blood’ and maybe some big changes will resurrect his party. You’d have to be brain dead to not see the writing on the wall.

    Even federally people were simply ‘voting for change’ (well, SOME people). Six years of Lord really hasn’t done much, even vaguely paying attention to economic statistics shows this. It would be nice though to do a random phone survey just to see how many people would think ‘the prosperity plan was working’. We might be surprised by the Irving effect.

    Cabinet experience in a small province would be shared as much as possible, unless every department is posting ‘bad news’, which has almost exclusively been the case in NB. This means many simply don’t WANT to be cabinet members, as it means a higher profile on the bad news-a guaranteed way to lose the next election.

    Elvy is in a rural riding, with decreasing poll numbers, unless he’s an idiot he knows his time is up. I can’t quite remember, but I think you only need to be elected twice to get that nice cozy pension. If it were up to him he might very well have retired NOW, but no doubt that last by-election shook up the party.

    Jody Carr was always popular in his riding, even liberals like him. No doubt mostly because he never gets the opportunity to do anything, which means he can’t tick anyone off. This gave him that ‘martyr’ appeal, all the old people who mutter about how he’s being neglected. If THAT guy was smart he’d pull a Stronach. As it is, he may win based on himself, but party politics goes a long way too. NB’ers always seem to base more on individuals than parties, but that doesn’t mean parties don’t count.

    New Brunswick is about the only province where being in cabinet is a BAD thing. Go back and look at the numbers for cabinet ministers-it’s not impressive. It’s kind of like playing against the Harlem Globetrotters-you know you’d lose and that the game is rigged, but you want a shot anyway.